Over the last few quarters, I have
visited close to a hundred cities and towns in India. Let me share my
observations as to how education is shaping up in India:
This is creating, and will continue to create massive demand for high quality education and training.
This cost structure has started driving students from other countries to come to India, and it will definitely accelerate further.
In economics, demand is the fundamental building block of progress, which has to be met by corresponding supply. Fulfilling demand for education services will create hundreds of large suppliers and entrepreneurs catering to various verticals and horizontals segments within the sector. Higher entrepreneurial activity leads to competition and innovation, which in long run creates a superpower status for the country in that sector.
1. Aspiration of an
Indian Parent:
I met with a few parents
who are MDs/IAS/CxO etc. Most of them have an inherent Indian desire for their
children to leap forward (compared to themselves) in their careers. They are
keen to put their kids in the best of schools like those with annual fees of Rs.
5-6 lakhs. They are also quite happy to spend crores to get their kids a degree
through a US/UK based university like MIT/Oxford etc.
I also met a few parents
who are class-3 employees in factories, or drivers or maidservants. Most of
them also want their kids to be engineers or doctors. A Horse Cart owner from
Bijapur was proud to inform me that his eldest son is currently pursuing a BE in
Computer Science from a local engineering college. He also expressed a strong desire
to ensure his younger kids also get into college.
Irrespective of economic
status, every Indian parent has a deep aspiration that their kids must do
better than themselves in their careers. This is the most important factor that
drives the demand for high quality education services in the country.
2. Systemic shift
from Agriculture Economy to Industrial/Knowledge Economy
India is in the middle of
shift from Agriculture-Economy to Industrial/Knowledge economy. I talked to
some farmers recently. One of them says that he has 15 acres of land, but still
cannot have a lifestyle even equivalent to a class-3 worker working in a
factory. Hence he does not want his kids to do farming even though he has a large
piece of land compared to all others in his village. He is determined to make
his kids study in the best possible school at a nearby city even at the cost of
selling a part of his land to pay the fees.
I’ve also observed that
many well-to-do families from villages shift to cities, rent a house and stay
there for few years to ensure that their kids get the best possible education.
This is a systemic
shift. The per-person net income exponentially changes when you shift your
profile from being a farmer to a class-3 factory worker to a class-2 officer to
jobs like engineer/doctor/IAS/NRI. There are many examples that people have
seen during the last 20 years. Hence everyone has the aspiration to move on and
make the quantum shift.This is creating, and will continue to create massive demand for high quality education and training.
3. Young Minds and
Massive Consumer Base
We all know the demographic dividend is in
India's favour. We have the largest young population in the world. Human mind
is the most productive asset to enable progress of a society. Machines,
technologies and automations in vacuum (without significant consumer base)
cannot create a sustained economic advantage, Japan is an example.
Large young population acts like a massive
consumer base, and also as a large human capital that can be used to develop
goods and services to be in turn used by this large consumer base.
This needs massive scale education and
training of all young minds at school level, college level and vocational
level.
4. Cost Structure:
Most of the good schools in large cities have
annual fees in the range of Rs. 15000 - Rs. 50000 per annum. This is less than
1/10th of what you see in developed world either in terms of per capita cost in
public schools or per capita fee in private schools. This makes high quality
education affordable in India. This cost structure is certainly sustainable for
the next few decades. We have teacher quality issues, but when we have millions
of graduates and post- graduates unemployed, it is just an issue of addressing
the teacher training problem. Few weeks ago, I was in a very small town called
Gokak in Karnataka, where 200 candidates walked-in for a primary school teacher
job in a good private school. This indicates that there are large numbers of
aspirants available for teaching jobs. This in turn will ensure that education
cost does not inflate due to disproportionate increase in teacher’s salary costs. This cost structure has started driving students from other countries to come to India, and it will definitely accelerate further.
5. Globalization
Technologies and tools like the internet,
flight travel, telephone have made human relocation easier. Indians do not mind
leaving their hometown and settling in any part of the world. A large no of Indians
would continue to relocate either within or outside the country to produce greater
income for their families. This creates a larger demand for trained and
educated human capital supply chain.
In Kerala, you will hardly find a house
where a member of the family is not in the middle-east. I keep visiting Andhra
towns, and we all know of their deep urge to send their kids to the US. There
are mini-Keralas and Andhras in almost every part of the country. The only way to
meet that aspiration to go out is to get good education.
And this is driving the demand for
education services, and will continue to do so for many decades to come.In economics, demand is the fundamental building block of progress, which has to be met by corresponding supply. Fulfilling demand for education services will create hundreds of large suppliers and entrepreneurs catering to various verticals and horizontals segments within the sector. Higher entrepreneurial activity leads to competition and innovation, which in long run creates a superpower status for the country in that sector.
I am quite positive that we will see India
becoming an education superpower in our lifetime.
Thanks and Regards,
Rajeev Pathak, Founder and CEO, eDreams Edusoft Private Limited, Bangalore www.edreamssoftware.com | rajeev@edreamssoftware.com